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Slot Rankings - How Wide Receivers Score More Touchdowns in the Slot
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Slot Efficiency
Slot efficiency is the goal of maximizing the amount of slot switches that can be made without violating certain constraints. These constraints can include, for instance the minimum operational delay (usually expressed as scheduling delays) fairness, equity, access, competition, environmental goals and many more. The process of distributing slots is a complex one, and optimizing it to meet the desired performance metrics requires careful analysis of all factors that are in play.
The process starts by identifying the different types of requests to prioritize based on precedents from the past. Once the type is determined then the slot allocation model is then utilized to minimize the delay criteria. However, many research gaps have been discovered regarding the optimization of slot scheduling models particularly when it comes to trying to balance fairness and efficiency.
ABC (assigned based on velocity) is a well-known method of prioritizing slot assignments. This strategy collects item history and then selects the grouping based on velocity. Items with the highest velocity receive the most slots, while smaller velocity items are placed further back in the warehouse.
The distance factor is another key element in slot efficiency. It is a measure of the amount of space needed to facilitate the pick-to-ship process. The measure takes into account the velocity group of items, as along with their rack placements and equipment handling characteristics.
It is also important to be aware of the costs associated with a slot change to improve the efficiency of your slot. Managers can assess the costs of a typical change in slot as well as its impact on other aspects of slot efficiency such as velocity by analyzing the typical slot.
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Perimeter Efficiency
We all know wide receivers score more touchdowns when they're in a position to hit perimeter targets, rather than slot targets. This is due to the fact that they are typically focused downfield and typically face one on one coverage. What may be surprising to some, however, is the fact that the top five slot players and the rest of the group score differently on targets in the perimeter.
Of the wide receivers that have been on at least 40 targets in each of the two seasons, the top five slot scorers on the perimeter routes were all speed receivers: Mike Evans, Amari Cooper, Tyler Lockett and Michael Gallup. The bottom of this list is filled with receivers who are more possession-based such as Chris Godwin and Diontae Johnston. The latter two are likely to see an increase in their targets this season if the Bucs move them into the slot more often however, they'll have to improve their perimeter scoring to maintain their high standards.
Speedy wideouts are the biggest benefit of moving into the slot as they typically have an easier time getting open downfield in the event that their route isn't blocked by a linebacker or cornerback. The only non-speedy wide receiver on the list that benefits from slot work is Corey Coleman, as he's an extremely reliable player on intermediate and short routes.
The bottom of the list is populated by possession-based receivers who are better on intermediate and short routes than those in deep areas like Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. Jeudy is a solid sleeper pick this year since he'll be the primary slot receiver for the Rams while Courtland Sutton and Amari Cooper are largely expected to be involved in more downfield targets. Hamler should be able to excel on intermediate and short-to middle routes, given that's exactly what he excelled at in 2021 when he played for the Bills. He could be a great replacement for the departing wideout Jordan Matthews in Buffalo.
Percentage of Snaps in the Slot
The percentage of snaps a receiver takes in the slot is an excellent indicator of their ability to play deep routes. However, it's not always a true representation of a receiver's skill set as some receivers excel in the slot but can't play deep and vice versa.
Alshon Jeffrey, for example leads the league in the number of targets he receives per game (4.8), but is only ranked 6th when it comes to the slot that receives scores (58.5). This is due to the fact that most of his targets are from outside and it's hard to get a first down when playing an open, deep route.
On the other hand, certain receivers excel inside, but struggle on the outer. For example the Panthers gave Robby Anderson 978 snaps last season, and he completed an astounding 74% of his slot routes as opposed to only 26% on boundary routes. That's a huge improvement and shows how much more productive he is when aligned in the slot.
Chris Godwin, a Buccaneers player, is in the middle of the field most of the time on his passing downs and has one of the top five slot receiving scores (58.5). However he also played 51% of his perimeter routes in the last season, and is a star in one-on-one coverage.
Speed receivers tend to be more effective when they line up inside. They are able to be targeted further down the field and often face one-on-one coverage. You'll find names like Mike Evans, Amari Cooper and Julio Jones in our top five.
On the flip side, we've got some great slot cornerbacks such as McDuffie and Moore in this group. Both have been able generate pressures in the passing game and have McDuffie leading the NFL with seven forced fumbles and Moore being the most effective tackle stop rate on this list (-3.5). By deploying McDuffie in the slot when they are running nickel or dime packages and then deploying him on the outside of base defense, Spagnuolo has maximized his skills. Moore's ability to stop big run plays is an enormous benefit when playing the slot.
Percentage of Snaps Outside
While top NFL receivers such as Golden Tate, Larry Fitzgerald and Baldwin excel on the perimeter however, their slot counterparts are also just as good. Wide receivers with an excellent slot grade score touchdowns about the same as those on the outside. This is due to the fact that quarterbacks have a more stable target distribution when throwing to outside and slot receivers, compared to other inside options such as tight ends and backfield pass-catchers.
It's therefore fascinating to see a receiver like CeeDee lamb on this list for 2022. He plays the slot in three WR sets and flanker in two of the sets. In actuality Lamb is running a greater number of routes in the slot than most of the players listed on this chart. This is an excellent way to generate matchup benefits for your team and helps to explain why Lamb ranks as the highest-graded slot receiver in our system this season.
Of course, he also plays the X position and makes huge plays on the perimeter, too. Lamb isn't nearly as explosive as the players in this list, but he's still an extremely high-quality receiver and is a perfect player for the Cowboys' scheme.
Mecole Hardman, another player who can put huge numbers with targets of all kinds, is a different example. He's among the best in the league at catching throws from behind his shoulders. He's also a superb contested-catch player.
Another player on this list who's a slot specialist in the true sense is Baltimore's Jalen Hilton, who has lined up in the slot on 85.7 percent of his defensive snaps this season. He's allowed the third-lowest target EPA and the fifth-best run stop EPA among cornerbacks aligned in the slot, which makes him an important part of his team's defense. He's had a difficult time stopping passes from the outside, and his EPA against this type of target is negative. This is a result of playing with poor linebackers and safeties who don't have the same size and speed. He also has a great ability to run routes.