Grant Succeeds, and vaccine succeeds:
Cases prevented per year = 6M * (30/100) = 1.8M
DALY avoided per year = 1.8M
Total Value of DALY avoided per year = 1.8M * $50000 = 90B
Total Value of DALY avoided for three years = 90B * 3 = 270B

ROI for 100% vaccine success = 54000

Is this how ROI is calculated (total * prob of success)?
ROI for 5% vaccine success = 54000 * 0.05 = 2700

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Pub: Aug 01 2021 10:13 UTC
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